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Global Warming Could Break Record in Next Five Years, Warns World Meteorological Organization

June 6, 2025

For the upcoming five-year period of 2025-2029, there is a 70 percent chance that the average global warming will be more than 1.5 degrees celsius hotter than pre-industrial times, a new report by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) finds. The forecast is up from 47 percent chance in last year’s WMO report for the 2024-2028 period. The 1.5 degrees celsius threshold holds symbolic significance as all governments under the Paris Agreement aim to keep global warming within that limit under the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement. The new report also states that there is a 80 percent chance that at least one of the next five years will exceed 2024 as the warmest on record, and there is an 86 percent chance that at least one year will be more than 1.5 degrees celsius above the pre-industrial period. Greenpeace Middle East and North Africa (MENA) sounded “the alarm” on May 26 as extreme heatwaves hit the region. Egypt and Iraq grappled with an intense increase in temperature, the United Arab Emirates shattered its May temperature record for the second consecutive day, reaching a staggering 51.6 degrees celsius in Abu Dhabi—just 0.4…


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